FedWatch's 60.4% Isn't the Coin Flip. The October 71% Is the Real Signal for Crypto.
September 8. The year is missing from the dataset, but the probabilities carr...
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2026-09-08
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Event Calendar
202610
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
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30
04
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Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
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3 Gwei
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42 Gwei
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
Dogecoin
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1
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1
Avalanche
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$8.54
1
Polkadot
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1
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$11.31
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